On Wednesday morning, Russian dictator Vladimir Putin finally gave his belated speech announcing the “partial mobilization” of Russian forces. Putin insisted that it would “only affect military reservists, primarily those who serve in the armed forces and have specific military occupational characteristics and relevant experience,” and promised that college students would not be invited. will – although the new law is working its way. The Duma allows for exactly that.
After bringing the nation to a standstill on Tuesday evening, Putin finally popped up on Moscow TV on Wednesday morning to deliver what he promised to be “the most important speech since the start of the special military operation”. In this speech [warning: link to official Kremlin site]Putin said the mobilization would be immediate, “starting on September 21.”
When Putin failed to show up for his scheduled speech on Tuesday, initial word was that he intended to speak for more than 3 hours on Wednesday morning, with Russian media lining up a large block of time. But in reality, the speech lasted only ten minutes. Much of that time was devoted to lying to hometown crowds about the attack, which he blamed on NATO and “international terrorists”. Putin also claimed that Russia had no choice but to attack because Ukraine, which notably abandoned hundreds of nuclear weapons that were on its soil at the time of the collapse of the Soviet Union, was “publicly disarming” of such weapons. was looking for
Putin declared that, “The main goal of this operation, which is to liberate the entire Donbas, remains unchanged. Demilitarization seems to have disappeared from the Kremlin vocabulary, although “Nazi” is still definitely present. In fact, Putin uses the term at least once per minute, blaming atrocities in Ukraine — including those just discovered in independent Kharkiv — on the “neo-Nazi Kyiv regime.”
When it came to the war, Putin seemed to believe that progress was slow. As an excuse, he said that Ukraine had built very difficult defensive lines supported by Western weapons, and that Russian forces were not only fighting. “Against neo-Nazi entities but in fact the entire military machine of the collective West. Because of this, Putin said, of Russia Slow motion movement was a feature, not a bug. According to Putin, “a frontal attack against them would have caused heavy losses…” and he must have known it.
When it came to the fake referendum, Putin declared that Russia “ would support a future election by a majority in the Donetsk and Luhansk people’s republics and the Zaporizhia and Kherson regions,” but did not specify what form that support would take before retreating to a conclusion in which he blamed the West. to “encourage the shelling of the Zaporizhzhya nuclear plant” and increase the threat of nuclear weapons. Russia will then use nuclear weapons.
After Putin’s brief speech, it really came down to Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu to fill in all the blanks. According to Shoigu, 300,000 people will be subject to mobilization. Ironic, Shoigu It claims that Russia has lost less than 6,000 troops while killing “half the Ukrainian army” or “more than 100,000”. In fact, according to Shoigu, the entire Kharkiv response has been a huge success for Russia, as they have “killed more Ukrainians in the last three weeks” than Russia has lost in the entire war. (Bonus: Shoigu Russia destroyed 208 Ukrainian tanks and 970 other vehicles during the advance to Kharkiv. Such a great Russian victory.)
So … Russia lost less than 6,000. has hit 100,000. 7,000 Ukrainians were killed in the last three weeks. And now calling 300,000 to fight with half of the remaining Ukrainian army? It doesn’t make any sense. This is Russia.
Those mobilized would be considered “contract soldiers” rather than conscripts, meaning they could be sent out of Russia and into combat zones. When it comes to contract soldiers, most of whom have contracts for only a few months, all those contracts have been extended “indefinitely”.
It seems that everyone in the Russian army, and everyone called up to the army, is now serving an indefinite term. But wait, it gets better. The Duma recently passed a series of new penalties for desertion, violating an order and damaging military equipment. All now carry heavy prison sentences. All of this helps explain why airline tickets from Moscow are so expensive Anywhere Now sold out. And the biggest spike in Google searches in Russia is a hand, or arm, or anything that puts someone out of service for at least a few weeks.
Even fell up shoigu to clarify that “after the plebiscite” that Russia would consider the territories included as part of “Russia’s territory”. It is amazing shoigu Apparently knows the results of referendums that have not been held. However, the reason for making this statement is that Russian law allows for mobilization in the event of an attack on Russian territory.
Coupled with a part of Putin’s speech in which he said, ““Citizens of Russia can be sure that the territorial integrity of our motherland, our freedom and independence will be ensured—I emphasize this again—with all the means at our disposal,” it is certain that any referendum There seems to be a threat of an attack on the collection. The areas will likely be met with a nuclear response. Which it really is No What Russian law allows. Other than a first strike response, Russian law only allows the use of nuclear weapons if the very existence of the Russian state is threatened.
But again, Putin and Shoigu interpret this as they wish. That is the advantage of being a dictator.
Bridget Brink, the US ambassador to Ukraine, summarized the reaction of both the US and the world to Putin’s speech and Shoigu’s outburst.
Tanki on Twitter and pro-Russian channels on Telegram and lots of “Oh, boy, you guys are up for it now. Just you wait.” As they all seem Russia kept all the super soldiers back home.
Meanwhile, everyone points out that Russia’s logistical nightmare won’t be solved by adding more people. Russia’s growing shortage of modern weapons won’t be solved by Putin wagging his finger at factories and telling them to make more, when they don’t have access to microprocessors and other essential components. And perhaps most of all, Russia’s top-down, 1950s-era strategies will not be improved simply by throwing in more people.
It is unclear how long it will take for anyone invited today to actually arrive in Ukraine. But there are reports that military officers are already roaming the streets in some towns – though, of course, not in Moscow – with “warrants” for reservists who are being sent away today.
While we wait to see what happens next, here is a thread from Russian reservists saying they will either refuse to fight, or shoot their officers, if sent to Ukraine. Here you go, Tanki, these are the people who are going to save your Russian army.
“I’m not going to fight, with you. Not only will I give up immediately, I will show you the way to the Kremlin.