There is no doubt that Washington and Europe have a lot invested in Ukraine’s victory over Russia, which helps explain why there is so much excitement about Ukraine’s current attacks around Kherson in the south, and Kharkov in the north. Why is there misinformation? The southern attack is a veil and causes devastating casualties. source? The Washington Post. This article appeared a week ago as the Kherson Offensive had shrunk and Kharkov was just being launched:
In dimly lit hospital rooms in southern Ukraine, soldiers with amputations, shrapnel wounds, broken hands and broken joints recounted the losses their units faced in the early days of a new offensive to drive Russian forces out of the strategic city of Kherson. described
Soldiers said they lacked the artillery to repel entrenched Russian forces and described a yawning technology gap with their better-equipped rivals. The interviews provided the first direct accounts of a push to retake occupied territory that is so sensitive, Ukrainian military commanders have barred journalists from going to the front lines. . . .
“We lost five men for every one,” said Ihor, a 30-year-old platoon commander who hurt his back when the tank he was riding in crashed into a trench.
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He had no military experience before Russia’s February 24 invasion of Ukraine. He made a living by selling animal feed to pig and cow farms. He said that his replacement as a platoon commander also has no previous military experience.
The Ukrainian commander claims his unit is losing five men killed or wounded for every Russian killed or wounded, confirming information presented at the Russian Defense Ministry’s daily briefing. To reiterate a point I’ve made before—Ukraine lacks sufficient air cover and artillery support to give forward troops a chance at victory while Russia’s capabilities on both counts are fully intact and operational. As a result, Russia relies on medium- and long-range fires to inflict heavy casualties on Ukrainian forces while limiting its own casualties and equipment losses. This is not my belief. This has been confirmed by both Ukrainian and Russian sources.
The Washington Post article offers further troubling insights for Western cheerleaders who have convinced themselves that Ukraine is moving towards Moscow and Russians are fleeing in panic. Consider what a wounded Ukrainian says:
Oleksandr said the Russian artillery fire was merciless. “They were hitting us all the time,” he said. “If we fire three mortars, they will fire 20 in return.”
Ukrainian soldiers said they had to carefully ration the use of their weapons but when they did fire, they had trouble hitting the target. “When you give the coordinates, it should be right but it’s not,” he said, noting that his device dates back to 1989.
Ukrainian soldiers thrown into combat have limited or no training in using weapons provided by the United States and NATO, and the Russians have a huge advantage in fire and ammunition supply.
Russian electronic warfare also poses a continuing threat. Soldiers described ending their shifts and turning on their phones to call or text family members — a decision that immediately drew Russian artillery fire.
“When we turn on the mobile phone or the radio, they can immediately recognize our presence,” Dennis said. “And then the shooting begins.”
This is one of the reasons why Russian commanders do not allow their soldiers to deploy with cell phones. This is another sign of insufficient training and command failure for the Ukrainians – that is, the onus is on commanders to lead in making decisions that minimize the risk of casualties for those in their charge.
To the north in Kharkov, Russia chose to leave the area rather than stand and fight. Instead, as in the south, Russia attacked the advancing Ukrainian units with fixed and rotary wing aircraft and artillery and precision missiles. Yes, Ukraine now holds territory that Russia gave up but Ukraine is paying a terrible price. And Ukraine shows no ability to target Russian airfields and artillery positions. In short, Russia has the ability to continue killing exposed Ukrainian soldiers in the region.
So what does this have to do with Western support? The news is getting worse on the economic front. Even in the United States. Check out this headline from today’s New York Post:
Biden on the heartbreaking reality of inflation: ‘People have told me I’ve lost weight, but I can’t afford groceries’
The post presents vignettes about four families who explain how they are suffering. Biden’s claim of zero inflation is laughable in light of this evidence of households pinching cash and making tough choices to buy groceries or pay utility bills.
In Germany the situation is even worse and the political leadership is pretending that there is no crisis:
Gas and electricity prices are exploding, pushing companies into bankruptcy. . . .Breads, rolls, cakes and cupcakes — that’s what Palace Bakery is famous for. . .
But at this point, Palaz no longer knows if he can stay in business. At the end of August, he received mail from his gas supplier. Instead of the previous €721 ($719) per month, he will now have to pay €2,588 for hot water and hot water from October 1, 2022. It also does not include the costs for the baking oven. Palaz has a gas contract that secures delivery at the old price till the end of the year.
But if gas prices continue to rise, Baker is looking at an annual gas bill of €42,000 for a single oven, up from €12,000 currently.
BDI conducted a survey of industrial companies. It shows that 58% of companies see exploding energy prices as “a major challenge”, and 34% say it threatens their existence. According to the BDI, around one in 10 companies in Germany has already cut or suspended production.
Russia is in no mood to help ease Germany’s pain. Quite the opposite. Russia’s ambassador to Germany said on Tuesday:
According to Sergei Nechaev, the very fact of supplying Ukraine with lethal weapons, which are manufactured in Germany and used “not only against Russian soldiers, but also against the civilian population of Donbass, is a “red line” that the Germans Officials shouldn’t. Crossed over.” He believes that in this context it is also important to take into account Germany’s “moral and historical responsibility” to the Russian people “for the crimes of Nazism during the Great Patriotic War”.
“Still, the Rubicon has been crossed. Pumping Kiev with weapons, as required by Anglo-Saxon NATO allies from Germany, is a road to nowhere, only prolonging the conflict and increasing casualties. A lot of people in Germany know about it,” Nechaev said in an interview with Izvesia.
According to him, the German authorities unilaterally dismantled mutually beneficial bilateral relations between Berlin and Moscow, “which were built on the basis of a partnership in recent decades, unique in their scale and intensity”. has decided
There are many madmen in the German political class. They are out of touch with reality. With businesses and employers facing an existential threat to their ability to continue operating, German economists, scientists and environmental campaigners are pressing Berlin to take its inflation-adjusted tax revenue and spend it on the country’s environment. – Investing in a better future. insanity
You make a mistake if you focus on the limited strategic gains Ukraine has on the ground and ignore the economic threat that threatens to engulf Europe’s largest economy. The collapse of the German economy would have a domino effect on the rest of Europe and make it politically untenable for NATO to continue pouring money into Ukraine while the Germans, French and Britons face starvation and hot homes. Without Western economic aid, massive amounts of aid, Ukraine would not be able to sustain military operations.