Today there has been a jubilant stream of liberated towns as Russia moves out of Kharkiv Oblast – with or without its equipment. There are unconfirmed reports of large retreats in Kherson, but I’ll hold off on posting them until we get better information.
Some of these Kharkiv retreats are strange. Take this amazing video:
The amazing thing about this video is that it is located in Kozacha Lopan, literally north of Kharkiv, on the Russian border.
Kozacha Lopan is particularly important because 1) there was really no reason for Russia to abandon it. There are no supply problems, it is on a major 4-lane highway, 30 km from Belgorod, on the terrible border. Russia fortified it with prefabricated concrete bunkers. It will cost Ukraine dearly to try and take it. So why leave it? Yet we are seeing this in all those border towns. When Russia decided to leave the oblast, they really meant to leave everything out.
As we celebrate Ukraine’s resounding victory, pro-Russian sources are finding hilarious ways to counter it. Let’s take a look at some of them.
How it started:
How it’s going:
How it started:
how’s it going:
There is a strange narrative on the pro-Russian side that Ukraine has paid a heavy price in its counter-offensive.
Russian resistance melted away with some shooting. Ukraine overwhelmed Russian artillery within hours. Did Ukraine suffer casualties? of course This is war. But there is nothing to suggest mass casualties either on the side
These sources will point to a video of a convoy of ambulances rushing towards Kiev. Still that image is maybe two dozen ambulances? This is not a major casualty. Due to which two dozen were injured. If this is the extent of Ukraine’s casualties, it will be an even more glorious victory.
Funny how copium makes their imaginations “clear”.
Let’s go over a tanky substack here:
My view is quite simple: Ukraine cannot and will not reach meaningful objectives – what we call “operational depth” – and has essentially thrown many of its carefully crafted premium reserves into a precarious position. I believe it is highly likely that these high rate Ukrainian structures are being saved […]
For Ukraine, one of the fundamental problems is that Russia has such a large advantage in firepower—aircraft, tube artillery, rocketry, and tanks—that any attack would quickly reach operational depth to disrupt Russia’s ability to withstand this firepower. should reach In the Izyum sector, this is simply not possible.
Lacking the ability to operationally engage Russian forces here, Ukraine will find itself in a good old-fashioned firefight against an enemy with far superior firepower—not only that, but it’s actually Ukraine that is now operating. is facing the complexities of, which has blown its way. Major with no chance of crossing and exploiting Oskill with force.
He aged well.
Don’t worry, though. Tucker Carlson’s favorite “expert” now says that “Russia still has the ability to crush the Ukrainian military if it chooses to fully mobilize. If Ukraine pushes hard, Russia will Respond with nuclear weapons. So Ukraine needs to stop winning it all.
That whole thread is great. Very satisfying, things like:
Unlike Russian Twitter, Russian Telegram is willing to drag and quarter Putin.
If you’re wondering why pro-Russian Telegram and Twitter are so different, the Telegram faction is far-right nationalist, and thus has more freedom to criticize Russian military action. On Twitter, it’s more rote preachers and tankies repeating the party line, no matter how ridiculous.
This is fun:
And yes to:
Anglo-American-Polish is a very good formula. Western Europe has not been idle, but its desire to please Putin has stalled it and left it behind, and even more so with Ukraine’s now accelerating gains. France wanted to lead a new European army. That dream is dead. Germany will likely be a great partner in the reconstruction of Ukraine, but neither will be militarily dependent on it. Spain and Italy have performed the least.
Who has advanced? USA, UK, Poland, Canada, Australia, Baltic nations, Slovakia and Czechia. Poland has begun a military buildup that will make it the strongest in Europe. (If its government’s retreat into authoritarian-lite wasn’t alarming enough…)
I think about him every day.
Honestly, hitting critical infrastructure makes more military sense than hitting random apartment buildings. Russia is terrorist, and it is terrorism, but at least there is some strategic thinking behind it.
Unfortunately for Russia, this is nothing more than a tantrum. will not affect the actual situation on the ground.