Simon Rosenberg/NDN Blog:
as the We are saying Opposition to MAGA in last two elections (6.5 pt Dem win in 2018/2020, Dems win House, Senate, Presidency) and with mass shootings, end of Roe, radical abortion restrictions, driving force for a radical Supreme Court has been , the extremist/terrible candidate, an open criminal conspiracy involving dozens of top Republican officials to overturn an election, is now likely to be the most powerful force in this election as well. When Republicans chose to run toward a politics that the country had rejected in record numbers only twice, the GOP made the political physics of this election different from a traditional midterm.. It is our view that the Senate is likely to remain in Democratic hands as of today; Dems getting 1-2-3 Senate seats is not impossible; And Democrats are now likely to outperform expectations in the House. Will it be enough for Democrats to keep the House? It’s pretty clear the Dems now have a shot, especially with the fundraising advantages our candidates hold in key incumbent Senate and House races.
something New data From Politico/Morning Consult helps shine a little more light on this dynamic. For the GOP to have a good moderate term either a lot of Dems will have to stay home or go GOP. Chances of staying at home are very low now. That means the GOP needs to give these voters a reason to come to them. And what voters see when they look at the two parties of Congress:
Dems in Congress 41-52 (-11)
Congress 35-58 (-23) in Rs.
Schumer 28% McConnell 20%
Pelosi 33% McCarthy 21%
And an analysis of this morning’s polls finds Dem approval to improve on many issues, with Dems now leading the GOP by 6 points, 45-39. In the report Morning Consult writes: “The reform represents good news for those working to keep control of the House and Senate, indicating that at least some voters may be able to shake off their moderate views of President Joe Biden when Think about their votes. November.” Mega’s ugliness, and how hard it will be for voters to embrace a politics they’ve twice rejected, has been largely discounted by analysts this cycle. The GOP is a big unpopular and radical mess and people don’t want to go there. And that was before Trump’s revelations about stealing US secrets.
Nicholas Grossman/Daily Beast:
If prosecuting Trump sets a ‘dangerous’ precedent – thus letting his crimes slide
Stop bowing to threats of right-wing violence – it’s time for the institutions of constitutional democracy to stand up.
Whatever the Department of Justice (DOJ) decides, it will set precedent, provoke public reactions, and shape history.
While Mega will have the right Defend Trump Despite the evidence, some centrist voices who acknowledge Trump’s wrongdoing still resist impeachment to preserve “domestic peace.” Even if well-intentioned and completely by the book, they argue, a Democratic administration that brings charges against the most recent Republican president (a likely re-run) will backfire, inflaming an already tense situation. .
I have argued that it Depends a lot on guesswork Very uncertain political results. If prosecuting Trump would set a dangerous precedent, his crimes would be allowed to drop. We can’t know what will happen, so we must follow the law and let the chips fall where they may.
But even if we say that American law enforcement should prioritize political influence, the “domestic peace” argument fails on its own terms.
David French/The Atlantic:
What the search-warrant affidavit tells us
The former president was not releasing top-secret national-security documents. The DOJ had no choice but to act. Trump has only himself to blame.
Of course, the search-warrant affidavit was not issued to provide public justification for the prosecution. We are a long way from knowing whether there is enough evidence to warrant a criminal charge. The affidavit was released—albeit in redacted form—to provide public justification research. While we don’t yet know all the evidence supporting the DOJ’s unprecedented decision to search the former president’s home, we now have a greater understanding of the key facts.
Given that knowledge, the search looks less like a political witch hunt and more like an action of last resort — one the Justice Department took after trying and failing to get cooperation from the former president. The available evidence is pointing in one direction. Trump may be angry about the discovery, but he only has himself to blame.
Margaret Talbot/New Yorker:
Justice Alito’s fight against secular America is not over
He’s racked up win after win — including overturning Roe v. Wade — yet seems more and more miserable. What does his anger do?
Now, however, Alito is the embodiment of a conservative majority that is ambitious and extreme. (He declined to be interviewed for this article.) With the recent additions of Brett Cavanaugh and Amy Coney Barrett to the court, the conservative bloc no longer needs Roberts to get results. And Alito has taken a passionate lead in reversing the progressive gains of the sixties and early seventies—from overturning Roe v. Wade to taking away voting rights. At a Yale Law School forum in 2014, he was asked to name a personality trait that had hindered his career. Alito responded that he had held his tongue too many times — that it “may have been better if I had said something else, sometimes.” He no longer holds his tongue. Indeed, Alito now seems to say whatever he wants in public, often with a swagger that suggests his earlier decorum was suppressing considerable resentment.
We have never seen such behavior from a senior US government official, much less from a president. And we are only talking about what we know. Why was he so threatened by the intelligence community? Why did he feel they knew things about him that could be harmful?
Was it just a sense of guilt over his active solicitation of foreign enemy support during the 2016 elections? Was it more than that? What is it that we do not know? What did he find classified that he shouldn’t have? What secrets were lost before this point?
What were the consequences of her son-in-law Jared Kushner’s apparent hunger for secrets? Why was he so actively interested in them? What were Trump’s motives in impeding the USG’s efforts to seize the secrets and return them?
What happened to the documents while they were in Trump’s custody? Do we have all the documents back? Were the documents stored in places other than Mar-a-Lago? When he was I.C. So what did he get his servants to do? What were their plans for them if they were to be re-elected?
These are not “political” questions. These are the questions that must be answered to understand the damage Trump and his inner circle have done to our intelligence community, our intelligence assets around the world, their security and our security.
Is the United States headed for civil war?
Fighting words and bigotry are on the rise. We’re not in ‘Turner Diaries’ territory yet, but that doesn’t mean the country will avoid violent conflict.
It is easy and logical to conclude that the United States today stands near the brink of civil war since 1861. A wide variety of voices—including Republican and Democratic politicians, academics who study civil strife, and extremists on both ends of the spectrum—now accept the idea that civil war is either imminent or imminent. They point to evidence that might seem persuasive: an avalanche of threats against FBI agents, judges, elected officials, school board members and election observers; training camps where heavily armed extremists train to confront their own government; And Pol showing that many Americans expect violent conflict.
But it is also easy and logical to conclude that the florid rhetoric of far-right extremists, alarmist warnings in the mainstream media, and Fury of threats And personal attacks after this month’s surprise FBI search Donald Trump’s South Florida mansion is far less than the terrifying prospect of civil war.
People who track such threats say this summer’s violent outburst against federal officials and government institutions amounts to another escalation of anger in a pattern that has continued during the pandemic, escalating since the assassination. George Floyd Two summers ago. But the Anti-Defamation League and other watchdog groups are not seeing the kind of specific planning by private militias and online assemblies of extremists that was evident before last year. Rebellion on January 6 And White supremacist march In 2017 in Charlottesville.