Even Republicans has begun to acknowledge that his path back to power in the Senate in November elections is less clear than in the House, Axios’ Andrew Solander reports.
Why this is important: The stark contrast between the GOP’s fortunes in the two chambers highlights the role candidate recruitment — and former President Trump’s involvement — played in this midterm cycle.
Playing news: Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) Entered “The House is more likely to flip than the Senate,” said at an event in his home state today.
- “Senate races are different, they’re statewide, the quality of the candidates has a lot to do with the outcome,” he said.
- Minutes before the Republican leader’s comments, news broke that the McConnell-affiliated Senate Leadership Fund was meddling heavily in Ohio. $28 million in advertising reservations.
- In a state Trump won by 10 points and considered comfortably red, Rep. J.D. Vance is running neck-and-neck with Rep. Tim Ryan (D-Ohio).
Remember the days of Mean Gene Schmidt? It was 2012. He, Michelle Bachmann, and Sarah Palin were the leaders of today’s Republican Party, direct descendants of Newt Gingrich. All are gone, though Palin may return.
In the last few days There are growing signs that the 118th Congress — a GOP-run House with a Democratic-controlled Senate — could be divided.
This is of no consequence That many Senate insiders or political experts have chosen to go this route. But it’s looking like a real possibility, if not likely, in the absence of a shift.
Let’s talk a little bit On this: The Senate remains Democratic until GOP candidates in key Senate races start doing dramatically better, raise more money and start hitting their opponents very hard.
Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, Someone who knows a thing or two about elections said this Thursday in Kentucky:
“I think the House is more likely to flip than the Senate. Senate races are quite different – they are statewide, the quality of the candidates has a lot to do with the outcome. “
There is much in McConnell’s statement, Includes an obvious dig at the former president Donald Trump, who played a key role in supporting Republican candidates in Arizona, Georgia and Pennsylvania. It’s the Senate hopefuls McConnell is referring to when he says “candidate quality.”
So maybe it’s not all hope.
Stacey Abrams defends Donald Trump’s investigation of Fannie Willis
Stacey Abrams has gone on to capitalize quickly On expression that Gov. Brian Kemp is no longer cooperating with investigators and is instead seeking to quash subpoenas seeking his testimony.
And on CNN Thursday night, he defended the investigation.
Kemp’s attorney accused prosecutors of a “politically motivated” investigation and raised concerns about the potential leak of his testimony in emails included in recent court filings. His lawyers want his testimony delayed until after the election or canceled altogether.
Shortly after the CNN appearance, Abrams hammered home another angle: “Bending to Donald Trump scores political points” for Camp.
John Stohr / Editorial Board:
Why is Biden on the left calling for student loan debt cancellation when Biden is in the process of canceling student loan debt?
Repeal or repudiation is not the question.
If the people involved in the debate were paying close attention instead of constantly confirming their sides for the entertainment of TV viewers, they would know that this is not the question. If or what The Biden administration could or should cancel some or all of the loans — because the administration is In the process of doing so.
The real question is what for and why.
“For what and why” Pandits do not pay attention to this.
Raging at the stark equality, Biden has become a champion of the poor and vulnerable, namely, black women, who have been ripped off by for-profit colleges, which is to say hundreds of thousands of people, all just trying to do better. have been Their lives and fortunes.
Marcy Wheeler/Empty Wheel:
Trump has obstructed which of the many investigations is the DOJ investigating?
As I have done As written in the past, there are several different theories about how the DOJ is enforcing the statute of limitations. 18 USC 1519, in the investigation of the stolen Trump documents. Three possibilities are introduced:
- The DOJ is investigating Trump for obstructing an investigation that was opened in February into Trump’s theft of classified documents at Mar-a-Lago to hide the documents from the DOJ and his own lawyers.
- DOJ is investigating Trump for obstruction First investigation and the current January 6th investigation (both the January 6th Committee and the DOJ’s own investigation) by attempting to keep presidential records out of the archives, either by destroying the documents or hiding them.
- The DOJ is investigating Trump for impeding the archives’ ability to meet the requirements of the Presidential Records Act.
The differences are subtle, but important in assessing how significant Trump’s legal exposure may be on this count.
The Trump wing of the GOP never stood a chance
Liz Cheney’s defeat made it clear that Trump’s GOP opponents have little electoral influence.
Even Tim Miller, a former top Republican operative and author of a recent New York Times bestseller, never trumps. Why we did itadmitted that Trump had won the battle for the GOP’s soul. “A lot of people misunderstand what’s going on in this moment and think that the Republican Party can somehow go back to the party of Liz Cheney and Paul Ryan,” Miller said. “It’s never going back — at least not anytime soon.”
Part of that wing’s irrelevance is due to the basic structure of American politics. The only three Republicans who voted to impeach or impeach Trump who advanced to the general election this cycle all ran in states without traditional party primaries. In Alaska, maverick Republican Sen. Lisa Murkowski ran in the state’s unusual primary system, where the top four candidates on a nonpartisan primary ballot advance to a ranked-choice election. The two House members who won their primaries, David Valadao of California and Dan Newhouse of Washington, both did so in states where the top two vote-getters on the nonpartisan primary ballot advance to the general election.
But it wasn’t just structural. None of the winning candidates emphasized their opposition to Trump. In fact, they all ran in local races and focused on issues that Republican primary voters were concerned about. But it needed a combination of anti-Trump Republicans to succeed in a primary.
‘It’s a rip-off’: GOP spending under fire as Senate hopefuls seek rescue
Campaigns ran out of cash and the NRSC created a panic as GOP candidates emerged from primaries playing catch-up in polls and advertising.
In a highly unusual move, the National Republican Senatorial Committee this week canceled nearly $10 million in bookings, including in the critical states of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Arizona. A spokeswoman said the NRSC is not dropping those runs but is prioritizing ad spots that are shared with campaigns and take advantage of discounted rates. Still, cancellation eliminates the cheaper prices that come from booking early, and a better budget could have covered both.
“The fact that they scrapped these reservations was a big problem — you can’t take them back,” said a Senate Republican strategist, who reserved his seat to discuss domestic affairs. spoke on condition of anonymity. “You can’t win elections if you don’t have money to run ads.”
The return of the NRSC comes months after raising a record $173 million so far this election cycle, according to Federal Election Commission disclosures. But the committee has burned through almost all of it, with the NRSC’s cash holdings dwindling to $28.4 million by the end of June.