The development capped a remarkable week for Barnes: On Monday, Outagamie County Executive Tom Nelson dropped out of the race and endorsed the lieutenant governor, while two days later, former Milwaukee Bucks executive Alex Lasry did the same. After Lasry’s departure, Godlewski insisted she would remain in the race, but despite $4 million in self-funding, she trailed badly in the polls and was unlikely to make it to the front.
Barnes spent a year fighting the trio for the right to take on Sen. Ron Johnson, the most vulnerable Republican senator, for re-election in November. If he succeeds, he would be the state’s first black member of the Senate, a journey that would add to the rapid growth of the past decade.
Barnes, now 35, first won office in 2012 by unseating a Democratic member of the state Assembly for supporting school vouchers. He then ran for lieutenant governor in 2018, easily winning his primary and then, as part of a ticket with Tony Evers, Republican Gov. Scott Walker and his number two, Rebecca Kleefisch (who is now running against Evers for her old boss job of).
However, Barnes’ most difficult task lies ahead. Wisconsin is the definition of a swing state, and Johnson, unlike most Republicans running for Senate, has actually raised a legitimate amount of money — about $18 million — and is also very wealthy. Barnes has taken in just under $7 million to date, but his fundraising is sure to have the entire Democratic Party rallying around him now.
Lacery is also providing a kind incentive: The wealthy former candidate, who gave $15 million to his campaign, still had $584,000 in paid but unused TV airtime after bowing out, so he ran ads hammering Johnson. Decided to run a flight. For outsourcing jobs.
Ultimately, much more will be spent on the race, which will be the most expensive in the country. But Barnes now gets a week-and-a-half head start on a critical three-month sprint that could determine whether Democrats retain control of the Senate.
● AZ-Sen, AZ-Gov, AZ-AG, AZ-SoS: Republican firm OH Predictive Insights(R) has once again surveyed the Aug. 2 GOP primaries for Arizona’s statewide races, with no clients mentioned.
In the Senate race, former Thiel Capital Chief Operating Officer Blake Masters has a 36-21 lead over businessman Jim Lemon, with state Attorney General Mark Bernovich at 12%, 25-18 against Lemon at the same firm. There is an improvement for Masters on the lead. Poll from early July. For governor, he edged Trump-backed former TV news anchor Carrie Lake over Board of Regents member Karyn Taylor Robeson 51-33, a big increase from her 39-31 edge for Lake in early July.
In the race for state attorney general, Trump-backed former Maricopa County Prosecutor Abe Hamadeh leads 31-16 against Rodney Glassman, a former Democrat who lost Maricopa County’s 2020 GOP primary. For secretary of state, Trump-backed state Rep. Mark Fincham trailed state Sen. Michelle Ugenti-Rita at 9% and state Rep. Michelle Ugenti-Rita at 8%. Along with Shauna Bolick, the advertising executive leads Beau Lane 32-11. Their earlier poll in early July showed Fincham with just a 14-6 lead over Ugenti-Rita with Lane at 5% and Bolick at 3%.
Meanwhile, a relatively new pollster called Alloy Analytics has also examined the GOP primary for governor, and their poll has Lake ahead of Robeson 45-35. Alloys Polster Landon Wall Says that there was no sponsor of the survey And he paid for it himself.
● Seo-Sen: NRSC Spending $240,000 on buying a cableThat’s a modest amount but it’s their first run in the race between Democratic Sen. Michael Bennet and businessman Joe O’Dea, his Republican challenger.
● IA-sen, IA-01: Former GOP Rep. Jim Leach, former Democratic Rep. in the 2006 wave after representing parts of eastern Iowa in the House for 30 years. was defeated by Dave Loebsack, has announced that he is switching parties to the Democratic and retired Navy Vice Adm. Supporting Mike. Franken for Senate and State Representative Christina Bohannon in the 1st District. Leach said he was prompted to make the change in response to Jan. 6 and Republicans lying about the 2020 election results.
● Mo-sen: SurveyUSA has conducted a new survey for several Missouri TV stations from Gray Television that examines the August 2nd primary election for both parties, as well as several potential general election matchups.
On the GOP side, state Attorney General Eric Schmidt edged former Gov. Eric Greitens 28-20 over Rep. Vicki Hartzler 13% and fellow Rep. Billy Long leads with just 8%. On the Democratic side, wealthy philanthropist Trudy Bush Valentine leads Marine veteran Lucas Koons 40-14.
Looking ahead to November, SurveyUSA pits the top three Republicans against each Democrat, along with former U.S. Attorney John Wood, a Republican independent who launched his campaign in June, and a fellow Supt. benefited from a $5 million ad blitz from the PAC. :
Eric Schmidt (R): 37, Lucas Kunes (D): 27, John Wood (I): 10; Schmidt (R): 36, Trudy Bush Valentine (D): 30, Wood (I): 9
Vicki Hartzler (R): 34, Kuns (D): 25, Wood (I): 12; Hartzler (R): 32, Valentine (D): 31, Wood (I): 9
Eric Greitens (R): 31, Coons (D): 26, Wood (I): 12; Greitens (R): 31, Valentine (D): 31, Wood (I): 13
● the senate: A huge pile of votes came out on Friday, so we’re rounding them all up below:
AZ-Sen: Beacon Research for the Environment Voter Project (D): Mark Kelly (D-Inc): 50, Jim Lemon (R): 40; Kelly (D-Inc): 51, Mark Bernovich (R): 40; Kelly (D-Inc): 51, Blake Masters (R): 39
GA-Sen: Beacon Research for the Environment Voter Project (D): Raphael Warnock (D-Inc): 48, Herschel Walker (R): 43
GA-Sen: Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Co. Research (R) for Fox News: Warnock (D-Inc): 46, Walker (R): 42
GA-Sen: InsiderAdvantage (R) for Fox 5 Atlanta : Warnock (D-inc): 48, Walker (R): 45, Chase Oliver (L): 3
GA-Sen: PEM Management Corp. Super PAC for Conservative John Bolton: Walker (R): 46, Warnock (D-Inc): 42
NC-Sen: PEM Management Corp. Super PAC for Conservative John Bolton: Cheri Beasley (D): 43, Ted Budd (R): 40
N.V.-Sen: Beacon Research for the Environment Voter Project (D): Catherine Cortez Masto (D-Inc): 51, Adam Laxalt (R): 45
oh-sen: PEM Management Corp. Super PAC for Conservative John Bolton: Tim Ryan (D): 44, JD Vance (R): 38
PA-Sen: Beacon Research for the Environment Voter Project (D): John Fetterman (D): 50, Mehmet Oz (R): 39
PA-Sen: Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R) for Fox News: Fetterman (D): 47, Oz (R): 36
PA-Sen: PEM Management Corp. Super PAC for Conservative John Bolton: Fetterman (D): 44, Oz (R): 38
Notably, PEM’s surveys for former National Security Adviser John Bolton’s super PAC each had just 300 respondents, the minimum required to be included in the Daily Cos polls digest.
● WI-Gov: Mike Pence has endorsed former Lt. Gov. Rebecca Kleefisch ahead of the Aug. 9 GOP primary, sparking another proxy battle between the former vice president and Donald Trump, who previously endorsed wealthy businessman Tim Michels. .
● Governor: Several new polls also dropped on Friday in the gubernatorial race:
AZ-Gov: Beacon Research for the Environment Voter Project (D): Katie Hobbs (D): 48, Karin Taylor Robson (R): 40; Hobbs (D): 49, Kari Lake (R): 40
GA-Govt: Beacon Research for the Environment Voter Project (D): Brian Kemp (R-Inc.): 51, Stacey Abrams (D): 43
GA-Govt: Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Co. Research (R) for Fox News: Kemp (R-Inc): 47, Abrams (D): 44
GA-Govt: InsiderAdvantage (R) for Fox 5 Atlanta : Kemp (R-inc): 49, Abrams (D): 44, Shane Hazel (L): 3
NV-Gov: Beacon Research for the Environment Voter Project (D): Steve Sisolak (D-Inc): 48, Joe Lombardo (R): 46
PA-Gov: Beacon Research for the Environment Voter Project (D): Josh Shapiro (D): 52, Doug Mastriano (R): 39
PA-Gov: Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Co. Research (R) for Fox News: Shapiro (D): 50, Mastriano (R): 40
● FL-10: And Citizens United, a progressive group that often spends in Democratic primaries, has endorsed gun safety activist Maxwell Alejandro Frost ahead of the Aug. 23 nomination contest.
● FL-13: Attorney Kevin Hazlett has released an internal poll from American Viewpoint that finds him at a 36-34 deficit against 2020 candidate Anna Paulina Luna in the Aug. 23 GOP primary, while 2020 nominee Amanda Maize only 9 takes % Hazlett’s campaign revealed that a previously unreleased poll in June had Luna by a wide margin of 42-19 with Maize at 13% arguing that he has the momentum. The release comes just weeks after a Tyson Group poll in early July for the state GOP found Luna ahead of Hazlett 37-17 with Maize 10%.
● OK-02: The Club for Growth-backed School Freedom Fund recently Reduced a combined $1.1 million On A TV and mail advertising campaign Before the August 23 Republican primary runoff, former state Sen. Josh Brechin and opposing state Rep. Avery Fricks endorse, though no ad copies are available yet.
Dollar amounts reflect the reported size of ad purchases and may be larger.