All week long, I have been skeptical of the number of casualties in Ukraine. Other analysts are beginning to reach the same conclusion.
You can find more of my arguments in my recent writings, but in short, the death toll depends on who is talking. Several weeks ago, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said that 50-100 Ukrainians died every week, then a week later another said it was 100-200, and then this week it was 200-300. Now this:
Meanwhile, on the ground, NASA FIRMS fire imaging shows heavy artillery fire inside Russian-occupied territory, grinding Russia’s progress to a crawl, and Ukraine Acquiring The area around Kharkiv and Kherson.
Russia, for example, took the initiative Four weeks ago. Time flies, huh? At that point, as they push in 14 Different directions (see my last update), Mostly Russian forces have expanded 15 kilometers (10 miles) in any direction. They are traveling an average of half a kilometer per day. 500 meters. Given that Ukraine still has an area of about 5,000 square miles in Donbass, one can only calculate how long it would take to conquer all this. No one should be upset, this is not happening.
If Russia actually had a 10-1 advantage in artillery (British intelligence said) 20-1 Tomorrow!), Things will look seriously different, no matter how many bullets the attacking civilians destroy the infrastructure. Undoubtedly, Ukraine has suffered a lot. But I read the tweet above and my mind called it “please send more content!” For reference, the Orix list of visually confirmed Russian losses currently consists of 781 Russian tanks, 1,402 armored infantry, and 204 artillery systems (which were destroyed behind enemy lines until the area was liberated). It is very difficult to document up to).
Ukraine has clearly decided that begging for poverty is the best way to flag European support. And it may have worked, given this week’s visit by the heads of state of France, Germany and Italy. But Ukraine looks better at playing with its strength – its flexibility, its refusal to bow or leave the territory easily, the bravery of its soldiers and the strength of its citizens. They are a force in Europe (and Central Asia) since the Russian invasion. And if we want some real politics, they are fighting a war that NATO was prepared to fight, but without dying.
Meanwhile, it was apparently the day of “slapping Marcos on the back” on Twitter:
Ben Hodges is a former commanding general of all US forces in Europe. And so was Mark Hartling.
I was impressed by the noise made by people about the speed and quantity of equipment sent. These logistical challenges are not impossible, but they are serious and time consuming. It seems I am not alone.
Take the US Brigade Combat Team (BCT), the basic combat unit deployed to the US (it was used as a large division until 2013) as opposed to a Russian Battalion Tactical Group (BTG) consisting of 10 tanks, 40 infantry combat vehicles. . (IFV), and about 600-800 soldiers, BCT is very large. The exact composition of a BCT depends on the specific type of unit (armored, light infantry, mechanical infantry, etc.), but an armored BCT has approximately 4,400 soldiers. 87 tanks, 152 IFVs, 18 artillery, and 45 M113 armored military carriers for various support roles.
Now the thing is ਇਸ the cost of replacing this BCT is $ 66,735 Per mile Per mile!
This is fuel, spare parts, food etc. This is the cost of logistics. People looked at the latest US aid package and its billion dollar price tag, and made all sorts of comments about how. A little It seemed to deliver. Some harpoon anti-ship missiles (Already in action) And 18 M777 guns. However, one of the bullet points for that aid package was “and parts”. Ukrainian brigades won’t be as expensive as the Americans for one big reason – they don’t have to move jet fuel for their tanks, as the Americans need (the biggest reason is that Ukraine won’t get American tanks). But moving an army is still very costly and logistically complicated.
In fact, this is probably the reason why Ukraine is getting older M113s armored personnel carriers, costing $ 58 per mile, instead of the more modern Bradley M2 pedestrian vehicles, at $ 162 per mile. And don’t think that it’s about tripling the cost of the operation, it’s about the money. A big part of that cost is fuel, and for every extra gallon of fuel needed to move a vehicle, many more tankers need to carry that fuel to the next lines. And if there is one thing that Russia has done right in this war, it is to target Ukrainian fuel depots.
Just as HIMARS and MLRS are useless if Ukraine and its allies can’t get enough rocket pods on the front, armored vehicles are useless if Ukraine can’t get them fuel. In fact, a large part of Ukraine’s military is made up of former Russian vehicles that ran out of gas in the early weeks of the war.
On the diplomatic front, Russia is hosting an international “economic forum” in St. Petersburg to make everything look like normal (literally) business. The problem is that many nations are not shown, only people like the Taliban and Kazakhstan. The latter is specifically designed for Strange The moment when two dictators, Vladimir Putin and Kazakh powerful Qasim-Jomart Tokayev, sitting together on the stage, shot at each other.
Of course, from the former Soviet republic, there is a way to tell your partner that Russia is not happy with the current system. Putin has made it clear that Ukraine is only the beginning, not the end. But don’t worry, no one is afraid of Russia anymore, and Tokayev later punched:
Kazakhstan is a member of the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS), a NATO-style alliance between Russia and several of its former Central Asian republics: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan (Turkmenistan). Inspectors “are. These countries have not only ignored Putin’s demands for military assistance, only Belarus voted with Russia when the United Nations reprimanded Russia for its attack in early March.
Now, these half countries are firing on each other, so it is not a perfectly cohesive “alliance”, and Russia plays favorites, such as supporting Armenia against Turkish-backed Azerbaijan, both a bloody border dispute. Are locked in Now, a CIS country is actively arming Ukraine.
The list of friendly countries with Russia is still shrinking.